Canadian GHG Emissions by Province

May 3, 2024

Canadian greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, by province, comparing years 1990, 2005, 2019, 2020, and 2021. Additional chart showing 2021 provincial share of emissions.

Alberta has the largest emissions in Canada primarily due to oil and gas sector. Ontario has the second most emissions although they decreased between 2005 and 2019 driven by the closure of coal-fired electricity generation plants.

Canadian Oil and Gas Emissions

May 3, 2024

Canadian oil and gas greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions forecast to 2030, by source type. Additional chart illustrating Incorrys emissions forecast methodology.

Recent increases in GHG emissions from the natural gas sector are driven by increasing production required to meet the demand of the LNG Canada export terminal expected to begin in 2025.

Canadian Emissions to 2030

May 3, 2024

Canadian greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions forecast to 2030 by industry industry sector. Additional chart illustrating Incorrys emissions forecast methodology.

Although there is a downtrend after 2023, Incorrys expects Canada to fall well short of achieving current 2030 targets outlined in the 2021 Federal budget.