Canadian GHG Emissions by Sector

July 15, 2021

Canada’s actual 2005 and 2019 greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, by industry sector, as compared to 2030 levels in the Paris Agreement, Federal Budget, and Leaders Summit.

The oil and gas sector accounts for 20%-30% of Canada’s total GHG’s in 2005, 2019,and 2030 forecasts under the Paris Agreement and the Federal Budget.

Large Emitters – Canadian Carbon Tax

OBPS Fraction of Historical Emissions Cutoff

July 15, 2021

The output-based pricing system (OBPS) is designed to put a price on carbon emissions (large industrials) as an incentive to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and spur innovation.

Regulations determine permissible GHG levels based on historical industrial processes at facilities. Depending on the amount of emissions compared to the cutoff, large industrials will either pay a price if over or earn credits if under their allowable levels.

Canadian Provincial Carbon Schemes

July 15, 2021

Provincial carbon schemes for both large industrial and fuel emissions must meet Federal emissions targets under the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act

Incorrys believes as we move toward the 2030 Federal government target emission reductions, it will be more likely that Provincial plans assimilate with Federal policy.

Canada’s Carbon Price Impact on Natural Gas

July 15, 2021

Forecast to 2030 of the impact of Canada’s carbon pricing on natural gas consumption, by demand sector.

The largest impact is seen in the residential/commercial and industrial sectors. Although long-term demand growth is driven by LNG exports, only a fraction of the emissions are created during the liquefaction process.

Carbon Tax Rate and OBPS Impact on AECO-NIT

June 28, 2023

Impact on Alberta’s AECO-NIT natural gas price, to 2030, from the carbon tax rate and Output Based Pricing System (OBPS).

Natural gas producers utilize natural gas from wellhead to burner tip. Canadian producers will be limited in their ability to pass carbon costs onto consumers with access to gas produced without a carbon tax in a well integrated North American market.

Federal Backstop Carbon Tax Rate Impact on Natural Gas

July 21, 2021

The impact on natural gas from the Canadian carbon price under the Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act.

The Canadian Federal governments mandated carbon price acts as a backstop price and applies to Provinces whose carbon policies or emissions regulations do not meet federal benchmarks.