October 21, 2021
The natural gas sector increases are driven by increasing production required for the LNG Canada export terminal expected to begin in 2024.
Light and Heavy Conventional oil are expected to decline slightly while Frontier (Newfoundland offshore) is expected to be flat.
Oil sands Mining sector emissions intensity is expected to benefit with Suncor’s switching from coke boiler to cogeneration in late 2023. Overall mining emission intensity drops 33% during the forecast period.
Oil sands in-situ intensity is expected to be reduced 18% due to switching to solvent/steam mixtures for subsurface efficiencies and carbon capture and storage solutions.