November 06, 2025

By 2035, power carbon emissions will be reduced from 2005 levels in both the US (44% lower) and Canada (36% lower) – both countries benchmark year for Paris Commitments. In 2005, Coal-fired generation of 330 GW of capacity operated at 73% load factor; by 2030, 70 GW of capacity will operate at just 50% load factor. From 2005-2035, coal fired generation will drop 1,700 TWh resulting in a 85% reduction in coal fired carbon emissions.

From 2005-2035:

• Natural gas fired generation will increase 1,645 TWh, replacing much of the lost coal fired declines.
• Natural gas emissions will double; however, overall emissions will drop 44%.

Note: Carbon emissions based on 2019 EIA data, coal fired electricity emits 1 Million Tonnes (MMt) of CO2 per TWh versus natural gas at 0.4 MMt of CO2 per TWh

See also:
Global Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions 1990-2022
Annual Share of World GHG Emissions 1990-2022
Per Capita GHG Emissions 1990-2022
Global Historical CO2 Emissions by Country 1990-2022
North American Power Emissions Outlook by Region 2005-2030