August 15, 2021

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Incorrys believes that Henry Hub natural gas prices will vary between USD 2.80 and 3.85/MMBtu during the 2021-2030 time period. The impact of changes in various supply and demand fundamental drivers are shown on the chart during the 2021-30 time period. All things being equal, increasing demand or decreasing supply will have an upward influence on price and conversely,  decreasing demand or increasing supply will have a downward influence on price.

Top factors influencing pricing over 2021-2030:

  • Natural gas required for generation in the electrical sector and LNG exports.
  • Production growth from associated gas basins (primarily Permian and Bakken, the Western Canadian supply basin (Montney) and Haynesville Shale.